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Publication - Professor Gerard Van den Berg

    Mortality and the business cycle

    Evidence from individual and aggregated data


    van den Berg, GJ, Gerdtham, U, von Hinke, S, Lindeboom, M, Lissdaniels, J, Sundquist, J & Sundquist, K, 2017, ‘Mortality and the business cycle: Evidence from individual and aggregated data’. Journal of Health Economics, vol 56., pp. 61-70


    There has been much interest recently in the relationship between economic conditions and mortality, with some studies showing that mortality is pro-cyclical, while others find the opposite. Some suggest that the aggregation level of analysis (e.g. individual vs. regional) matters. We use both individual and aggregated data on a sample of 20-64 year-old Swedish men from 1993 to 2007. Our results show that the association between the business cycle and mortality does not depend on the level of analysis: the sign and magnitude of the parameter estimates are similar at the individual level and the aggregate (county) level; both showing pro-cyclical mortality

    Full details in the University publications repository