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Details for Professor Nicky Welton

Personal details
Name Professor Nicky Welton
Job title Professor in Statistical and Health Economic Modelling
Department Bristol Medical School (PHS) University of Bristol
Personal web page http://www.bris.ac.uk/social-community-medicine/projects/mpes/
Contact details This expert can be contacted via the University of Bristol Public Relations Office.

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work+44 (0)117 331 8092
email:
Qualifications BSc(Sheff), MSc(UCLond), PhD(Bristol)
Professional details
Keywords Bayesian statistics
toxoplasmosis
breast cancer screening
genetic testing
smoking
cluster randomised trial
mixed treatment comparison
Areas of expertise Research Interests:

1. Bayesian statistical methods for combining evidence from different sources, and assessing evidence consistency. Examples include: synthesis of incidence and prevalence data for toxoplasmosis; estimating Markov transition parameters from various data sources that may include different forms of censoring, as well as exact event history data.

2. Comprehensive cost-effectiveness analysis where the inputs to the decision analysis model are the outputs from an evidence synthesis. Examples include: interventions to increase attendance at breast cancer screening; genetic testing to aid choice of pharmacological interventions for smoking cessation.

3. Expected Value of Information methods for research prioritisation and trial design. Examples include: cluster randomised trial for interventions to increase attendance at breast screening; mixed treatment comparison of treatments for bipolar disorders.