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Publication - Dr Catrin Campbell-Moore

    Rational Probabilistic Incoherence? A Reply to Michael Caie

    Citation

    Campbell-Moore, C, 2015, ‘Rational Probabilistic Incoherence? A Reply to Michael Caie’. Philosophical Review, vol 124., pp. 393

    Abstract

    In Michael Caie's article “Rational Probabilistic Incoherence,” Caie argues that in light of certain situations involving self-reference, it is sometimes rational to have probabilistically incoherent credences. This essay further considers his arguments. It shows that probabilism isn't to blame for the failure of rational introspection and that Caie's modified accuracy criterion conflicts with Dutch book considerations, is scoring rule dependent, and leads to the failure of rational introspection.

    Full details in the University publications repository