| Unit name | Philosophy of Probability |
|---|---|
| Unit code | PHILM0028 |
| Credit points | 20 |
| Level of study | M/7 |
| Teaching block(s) |
Teaching Block 1 (weeks 1 - 12) |
| Unit director | Dr. Jason Konek |
| Open unit status | Not open |
| Units you must take before you take this one (pre-requisite units) |
N/A |
| Units you must take alongside this one (co-requisite units) |
N/A |
| Units you may not take alongside this one |
N/A |
| School/department | Department of Philosophy |
| Faculty | Faculty of Arts |
This unit will consists of three parts:
1. probability theories
We will examine the basic principles and properties of the main theories of probability are explained and discussed. We start with the classical or orthodox theory ("Kolmogorov probability"). Then we look at several generalisations of probability theory: finitely additive probability, imprecise probability, and Popper functions.
2. interpretations of probability
We then investigate different philosophical interpretations of probability. Particular attention will be given to: the classical interpretation, subjective interpretations, objective probability, the relative frequency interpretation, and the propensity interpretation.
3. probability and philosophy
In this part we look at ways in which probability theory can be brought to bear on philosophical problems. We will investigate some of the following in detail: utility theory and decision theory, measures of epistemic accuracy, conditionals, qualitative and quantitative belief, randomness, and theories of finite and infinite lotteries.
By the end of the unit students will:
(1) have sophisticated knowledge and understanding of probability theories, interpretations of probability, and the philosophical issues to which probability gives rise.
(2) have sophisticated knowledge and understanding of a wide range of important primary and secondary literature on these topics.
(3) be able to critically assess these theories, interpretations, and the philosophical positions and arguments in the relevant debates, with a sophistication appropriate to level M/7.
(4) be able to communicate these assessments, and explain theories, interpretations, positions, and arguments, assessed, with clear, fluent writing with a sophistication appropriate to level M/7.
(5) have developed research skills with a sophistication appropriate to level M/7.
Lectures, seminars and tutorials
Summative Assessment: One essay of up to 6,000 words (excluding bibliography) designed to test the ILOs. - 100%
If this unit has a Resource List, you will normally find a link to it in the Blackboard area for the unit. Sometimes there will be a separate link for each weekly topic.
If you are unable to access a list through Blackboard, you can also find it via the Resource Lists homepage. Search for the list by the unit name or code (e.g. PHILM0028).
How much time the unit requires
Each credit equates to 10 hours of total student input. For example a 20 credit unit will take you 200 hours
of study to complete. Your total learning time is made up of contact time, directed learning tasks,
independent learning and assessment activity.
See the Faculty workload statement relating to this unit for more information.
Assessment
The Board of Examiners will consider all cases where students have failed or not completed the assessments required for credit.
The Board considers each student's outcomes across all the units which contribute to each year's programme of study. If you have self-certificated your absence from an
assessment, you will normally be required to complete it the next time it runs (this is usually in the next assessment period).
The Board of Examiners will take into account any extenuating circumstances and operates
within the Regulations and Code of Practice for Taught Programmes.
